Burnley vs West Ham – Pre-Match Analysis

LONDON, ENGLAND - APRIL 17: Declan Rice of West Ham United clashes with Wout Weghorst of Burnley before both being shown a yellow card during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Burnley at London Stadium on April 17, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Steve Bardens/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - APRIL 17: Declan Rice of West Ham United clashes with Wout Weghorst of Burnley before both being shown a yellow card during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Burnley at London Stadium on April 17, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Steve Bardens/Getty Images)

This Saturday has an incredible line up of fixtures, namely West Hams away trip to midlands team Burnley. With national matches over, it’s time to look towards the domestic league once again. But how will the Hammers cope with Kompany’s “renovated” side that took the championship by storm last year?

West Ham are currently in 9th place on 17 points. After a brilliant start to the season, they have fallen off the gas a little bit. Burnley however, have fallen off the wagon completely. They dominated the championship with expansive, creative football. Kompany was being called another one of Peps dicibles and they were favourites of the promoted clubs to avoid the drop back down to the championship.

They are sat in bottom place, with 4 points and a -21 goal difference. What went wrong?

Burnley’s Belgian manager Vincent Kompany (R) gestures on the touchline during the English Premier League football match between Arsenal and Burnley at the Emirates Stadium in London on November 11, 2023. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or ‘live’ services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by GLYN KIRK/AFP via Getty Images)
Burnley’s Belgian manager Vincent Kompany (R) gestures on the touchline during the English Premier League football match between Arsenal and Burnley at the Emirates Stadium in London on November 11, 2023. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or ‘live’ services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by GLYN KIRK/AFP via Getty Images)
West Ham United’s Scottish manager David Moyes reacts during the English Premier League football match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest at the London Stadium, in London on November 12, 2023. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or ‘live’ services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP via Getty Images)
West Ham United’s Scottish manager David Moyes reacts during the English Premier League football match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest at the London Stadium, in London on November 12, 2023. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or ‘live’ services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP via Getty Images)

With Kompany’s appointment, Burley undertook a complete transformation in play style. Dyche’s “hoof it up to the big man up front” tactic was thrown in the bin. Instead Kompany sets his side up to dominate possession, pin teams back, and create, create, create. This worked brilliantly in the championship against sides such as Rotherham, Hull city and Blackpool, but against the likes of top flight teams, they’ve shot themselves in the foot.

The gap in talent from the 1st to the 2nd devision in English football is large, so large that the 101 point Burnley team that won the championship look like an easy 3 points for just about any side in the league. The prediction is that eventually Burnley will swap back to a more pragmatic play-style as at the moment teams are tearing them apart. They must make themselves difficult to play against. But when will this change come, if ever?

Main points:

Brownhill and Berge, there is talent somewhere?

Josh Brownhill and Sander Berge are the two central midfielders for Burnley, and they are great players. Yes this sounds ridiculous when most of this article has been stating how bad Burnley have been, but who’s fault is it? Brownhill is the clubs top goalscorer this season with 3, he also boasts 3 assists, and is the central playmaker in a side that struggles to make any plays. Sander Berge was a shock signing after performing brilliantly for Sheffield United last year. The Norwegian central midfielder is a great box to box, with immense strength and the ability to pick a pass. These two have the capability to run a midfield, but with the current play-style, they get outnumbered and overrun. Stopping these two has to be a priority for West Ham come Saturday.

LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 11: Josh Brownhill of Burnley scores the team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Arsenal FC and Burnley FC at Emirates Stadium on November 11, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 11: Josh Brownhill of Burnley scores the team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Arsenal FC and Burnley FC at Emirates Stadium on November 11, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)
Norway’s midfielder #08 Sander Berge (L) fights for the ball with Scotland’s midfielder #08 Callum McGregor during the UEFA Euro 2024 Group A qualifying football match between Scotland and Norway, at Hampden Park stadium, in Glasgow, on November 19, 2023. (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN / AFP) (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Norway’s midfielder #08 Sander Berge (L) fights for the ball with Scotland’s midfielder #08 Callum McGregor during the UEFA Euro 2024 Group A qualifying football match between Scotland and Norway, at Hampden Park stadium, in Glasgow, on November 19, 2023. (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN / AFP) (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN/AFP via Getty Images)

JWP, a man on a mission:

Ward-Prowse was hard done to by Southgate this last international period, as the Englishman was wrongfully left out. Especially when considering Kalvin-Phillips was in the squad, but that’s for another discussion. The perhaps, signing of the season, has 9 assists so far in all competitions, which is phenomenal. He averages 2.4 key chances per game, which is one of the best in the league. This is more impressive when considering that West Ham are a largely pragmatic side. James Ward-Prowse deserves a spot in that squad for the Euros, and he knows it as much as the West Ham fans do too. So let’s hope he can keep putting in great performances so that Southgate has to take him next summer.

LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 12: James Ward-Prowse of West Ham United and Nicolas Dominguez of Nottingham Forest battle for the ball during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest at London Stadium on November 12, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Vince Mignott/MB Media/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 12: James Ward-Prowse of West Ham United and Nicolas Dominguez of Nottingham Forest battle for the ball during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest at London Stadium on November 12, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Vince Mignott/MB Media/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 12: James Ward-Prowse of West Ham United in action during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest at London Stadium on November 12, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Gaspafotos/MB Media/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 12: James Ward-Prowse of West Ham United in action during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest at London Stadium on November 12, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Gaspafotos/MB Media/Getty Images)

“Bowen’s on fire, and he’s …”

I can’t finish that one off but you know the rest. Jarred is the Hammers top scorer this season with 9 to his name. That’s the same number of goals that Burnley have scored this campaign all together … His link up with Kudus is brilliant to watch, so let’s hope they are both on fire come Saturday.

LONDON, ENGLAND – AUGUST 31: Jarred Bowen of West Ham United during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur at London Stadium on August 31, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Eddie Keogh/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – AUGUST 31: Jarred Bowen of West Ham United during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur at London Stadium on August 31, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Eddie Keogh/Getty Images)

Scoreline predictions:

There’s only one outcome, a Hammers win. Burnley are heading straight back to the championship unless they can pull a miracle. However, if Kompany finally drops his philosophy and try’s to grind out a result, Moyes could be in trouble. I can’t see anything other than a convincing West Ham win, I’m going with 2-0 West Ham, Come On You Hammers !

LONDON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 30: A detailed view of a West Ham United club badge prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Sheffield United at London Stadium on September 30, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Visionhaus/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 30: A detailed view of a West Ham United club badge prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Sheffield United at London Stadium on September 30, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Visionhaus/Getty Images)
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